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Daily Commentary

Gold, Silver and Oil Up Dramatically

by Joe Battaglia
Posted: June 6, 2008

Gold, silver and oil are all up dramatically this morning, while the dollar is lower.  An unexpected increase in the unemployment rate to 5½% caused the dollar to fall 25 basis points to 72.78, as it lead to the belief that the Fed has no possibility of raising interest rates in this kind of an environment.  In addition, oil is up $6.30 at $134.09.  It was up almost $6 yesterday.  The total for the two days is about $13 a barrel on the upside.  Was this a failed effort at intervention in the oil and dollar markets by central banks, especially the Fed and its Exchange Stabilization Fund?  It sure looks like it. 

 

Gold is up $19 in early trading, while silver has gained $.12.  Gold and silver along with other precious metals moved into the positive column in reaction to higher oil and a weaker dollar.  The huge rise in oil and gold has prompted a lot of short covering in both markets.  It is also generating renewed buying by investors after gold held support.  Analysts are now targeting resistance for August gold in the area of $898 to $902.  Clearly, a break out should lead to the $930 to $950 range.  These markets are performing almost precisely in the way the major analysts have been forecasting.  Once this cycle of correction and consolidation has fully run its course, then we should see the metals challenging and moving above $1,000 an ounce.

 

For the moment the equity market is not fairing very well.  The Dow is down 211 points at 12,393.  Other stock indices are also sharply lower.  Investors need to be cognizant of the fact that while unemployment is rising, it puts further pressure on the housing and credit markets.  This puts further pressure on the banking system.  In turn, this forces the Fed to continue to be very accommodative with an "inflation be darned" attitude.  Fed Chairman Bernanke's entire history has been one in which he has devoted himself to fighting deflation.  In fact, he kiddingly said if necessary he would drop $100 bills from helicopters in order to stop deflation.  That is why he is nicknamed "Helicopter Ben".

 

When you look at the supply/demand outlook for gold it is very favorable.  New mine supply is declining while demand is increasing, which suggests higher prices ahead.  This was the message of prominent mining executives at a special conference in New York yesterday.  The forecast consensus at that conference was for a return of gold to above $1,000 an ounce this year.  These are some of the many reasons why investors should be accumulating gold and silver at this time.

 

Investors should contact Goldline and ask them to explain the features, benefits and cost structure of the various gold and silver investments that are available to you.  Select those that best meet your own personal and individual investing needs and objectives.  Investors looking for low transaction costs may wish to consider bullion assets such as American Eagles, Krugerrands, Canadian Maple Leafs, Silver Bags or Silver Bars.  However, the Price Guarantee Program is not available with these assets. 

 

If you would like to take advantage of the Price Guarantee Program, which provides you with a two-week window of opportunity in which to re-price your order in the event of a correction, you must select assets with some collectible value such as Swiss 20 Francs, Double Eagles and Silver Dollars.  When you acquire 29 Swiss 20 Francs, you will receive the 30th coin for free.  Investors may wish to consider several tubes of these coins to obtain several free Swiss 20 Franc gold coins.  Call Goldline at 1-800-827-4653 for further information.

 

To receive the free information package including the special booklet from the FDIC that helps you to understand whether your bank accounts are safe and enables you to be sure that your bank has the proper insurance to protect your deposits, call Goldline.  We also provide several other helpful articles.  There are also a number of other independent third party source articles that you will find extremely helpful and informative.  You will also receive the company brochure and a Coin Facts Risk Disclosure Booklet, which you should read carefully before you make an investment. 

 

Goldline will also send you a free CD of the special interview with analyst Frank Barbera if you ask for it.  This is a remarkable interview and I think everyone would benefit from listening to it.  Call Goldline now to receive your free information package at 1-800-827-4653.

 

 

 

You should carefully read the client Account Agreement and the Risk Disclosure information. These explain important things you need to know before you invest in precious metals, such as: past performance does not guarantee future results. Transaction costs are generally 5% to 10% on bullion and 30% to 35% on coins. This is also referred to as the spread, or the difference between the buy price and the sell price. The market must go up enough to overcome this spread before an actual profit is achieved. All markets go up and down. Coins are a long-term, three- to five-year, preferably five- to ten-year investment, suitable for 5% to 10% of the average portfolio. Please see Goldline's Risk and Disclosure Statement for further details.

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