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Daily Commentary

Financial Problems Are Triggering "Flight to Quality Buying"

by Joe Battaglia
Posted: July 15, 2008

Gold and sliver are both sharply higher as the equity market sells off and oil rebounds.  Gold is up over $9 and silver is up $.08 in early trading.  Oil is up $.29 at $145.49 a barrel and the equity market is down heavily with the Dow falling 179 points and the transports are down 124 points.  The Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which have been the subject of a rescue continue to fall dropping heavily this morning.  This demonstrates the problems are far from over.  Moreover, other banking stocks are also falling heavily.  General Motors announced it is suspending its dividend and cutting back on health care benefits for retires and other major cut backs in labor.

 

The producer price index was higher than expected, gaining 1.8% last month.  Fed Chairman Bernanke is testifying before congress this morning and Paulson will give his views also.  However, we cannot believe a word they say.  Remember, on Friday Paulson and Bernanke both said Fannie & Freddie were in good shape and needed no bailout.  Within a few hours, they announced the bailout.  Watch what they do, not what they say.

 

We clearly have stagflation underway and it is probably out of control at this point.  The problems in the banking system are severe and this causes the Fed and the treasury to have very few options.  They must continue to inflate the money supply and take whatever action is necessary to try to avoid a total collapse of the banking and financial system.  Moreover, IndyMac was the 2nd largest bank failure in history.  Many people will lose money.  The Wall Street Journal referred to what is going on in the banking system as a "slow walk" on the banks.  However, the truth is it is a "run" on the banking system that has been underway for some time. 

Analyst Clive Lambert told Dow Jones Wire Service that there is flight to quality buying of gold and things look good for gold to test $1,000 and then $1,033.50.  UBS said yesterday gold will hit $1,000 within the month and will reach $1,050 or higher within three months.  This morning the key September futures contract hit a high of $999.40.  Silver was as high as $19.55.  Gold may very well take out $1,000 an ounce this week.  Many analysts are commenting that the geopolitical risk with Iran and the financial problems are triggering the "flight to quality buying".  

 

Many banks remain at risk of default with the FDIC forecasting one hundred banks to fail this year and many analysts thinking as many as three hundred will fail over the next three years.  There is a substantial chance that a major financial institution will fail.  The housing problems are also very severe and worsening.  In this kind of environment, investors should opt for safety and be conservative.  That means you should review all of your investment assets in your 401(k) plans, your IRA accounts, and your individual portfolios.  Be sure that you are comfortable that your assets can survive a period of grave crisis ahead. 

 

To understand what is going on in these markets, you should call Goldline for the free information package.  It includes articles from several major banks including Royal Bank of Scotland, Barclay's and Fortis Bank, helping you to understand exactly what is going on and to understand the potential for a stock market crash.  With the Dow down below 11,000, it is likely to test 10,700.  If it breaks through that level, then you are probably going to see a cascading fall with a challenge of the 7,500 level possible.  Investors ignore the warnings of these major banks at their peril.  Please call Goldline now to receive the free information package at 1-800-827-4653.  Be sure that you give consideration to diversifying 5% to 20% of your portfolio into gold and silver assets for the protection and profit potential that they provide.  Today is a great opportunity for you to get into the gold market under $1,000 an ounce.  Gold has the potential, according to many analysts to rise above $2,000 an ounce.  This is an opportunity that should not be overlooked.  Call Goldline now for your free information package at 1-800-827-4653.

 

Investors should contact Goldline and ask them to explain the features, benefits and cost structure of the various gold and silver investments that are available to you.  Select those that best meet your own personal and individual investing needs and objectives.  Investors looking for low transaction costs may wish to consider bullion assets such as American Eagles, Krugerrands, Canadian Maple Leafs, Silver Bags or Silver Bars.  However, the Price Guarantee Program is not available with these assets. 

 

If you would like to take advantage of the Price Guarantee Program, which provides you with a two-week window of opportunity in which to re-price your order in the event of a correction, you must select assets with some collectible value such as Swiss 20 Francs, Double Eagles and Silver Dollars.  When you acquire 29 Swiss 20 Francs, you will receive the 30th coin for free.  Investors may wish to consider several tubes of these coins to obtain several free Swiss 20 Franc gold coins.  Call Goldline at 1-800-827-4653 for further information.

 

To receive the free information package including the four articles on the dollar, the economy and gold call Goldline at 1-800-827-4653.  Goldline also provides several other helpful articles.  There are a number of other independent third party source articles that you will find extremely helpful and informative.  You will also receive the Client Account Agreement, a company brochure and a Coin Facts Risk Disclosure Booklet, read these carefully before you make an investment. 

 

Goldline will also send you a free CD of the special interview with analyst Frank Barbera if you ask for it.  This is a remarkable interview and I think everyone would benefit from listening to it.  Call Goldline now to receive your free information package at 1-800-827-4653.

 

 

 

You should carefully read the client Account Agreement and the Risk Disclosure information. These explain important things you need to know before you invest in precious metals, such as: past performance does not guarantee future results. Transaction costs are generally 5% to 10% on bullion and 30% to 35% on coins. This is also referred to as the spread, or the difference between the buy price and the sell price. The market must go up enough to overcome this spread before an actual profit is achieved. All markets go up and down. Coins are a long-term, three- to five-year, preferably five- to ten-year investment, suitable for 5% to 10% of the average portfolio. Please see Goldline's Risk and Disclosure Statement for further details.

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